live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 17, 2013.


Texas El Paso

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:95.0
Current RPI:95
Expected SOS:79
Current Record:18-14
Expected Record:18-14
Current Conf Record:11-7
Expected Conf Record:11-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC RPI:113
Expected OOC SOS:14



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1456.25%95.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas El Paso.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Oral Roberts (151.0)SlndH69-49W100%0.0
11-15Arizona (16.0)P12A72-51L0%0.0
11-22Oklahoma (39.0)B12N68-61L0%0.0
11-23Clemson (185.0)ACCN69-48L0%0.0
11-25Vanderbilt (120.0)SECN49-73L0%0.0
11-28New Mexico St. (55.0)WACH55-54W100%0.0
12-8Idaho (195.0)WACH64-60W100%0.0
12-17Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCH60-62L0%0.0
12-19Oregon (48.0)P12H91-84W100%0.0
12-22Arkansas Pine Bluff (202.0)SWACH83-61W100%0.0
12-23Nebraska (104.0)B10H68-52W100%0.0
1-2Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA62-58L0%0.0
1-9Tulane (175.0)CUSAA57-66W100%0.0
1-12Marshall (208.0)CUSAH74-63W100%0.0
1-14Houston Baptist (310.0)GWCH72-44W100%0.0
1-16Tulsa (127.0)CUSAA45-42L0%0.0
1-19Southern Methodist (219.0)CUSAH63-54W100%0.0
1-26East Carolina (100.0)CUSAA67-68W100%0.0
1-30UAB (144.0)CUSAA78-72L0%0.0
2-2Tulane (175.0)CUSAH62-50W100%0.0
2-6Rice (324.0)CUSAH65-53W100%0.0
2-9Tulsa (127.0)CUSAH70-74L0%0.0
2-13Houston (197.0)CUSAA79-61L0%0.0
2-16Central Florida (103.0)CUSAH73-58W100%0.0
2-20Southern Mississippi (31.0)CUSAA45-39L0%0.0
2-23New Mexico St. (55.0)WACA55-51L0%0.0
2-27Houston (197.0)CUSAH63-53W100%0.0
3-2Rice (324.0)CUSAA56-67W100%0.0
3-5Memphis (12.0)CUSAH54-56L0%0.0
3-9Southern Methodist (219.0)CUSAA63-76W100%0.0
3-14Houston (197.0)CUSAN80-69W100%0.0
3-15Southern Mississippi (31.0)CUSAN85-67L0%0.0